Predict-then-publish

We predict.
Then we publish what happened.

The strongest test for synthetic research is whether predictions hold up in the real world. Every quarter, Prism predicts the outcome of a real SaaS-page change — then publishes the comparison when real conversion data lands. Every loop is dated, sourced, and public, including the ones we get wrong.

Status

The first live predict-then-publish loop opens May 2026. The queue:

  • ·Linear · pricing v3 redesign sample loop preview, then the live run
  • ·Cursor · Business tier rename prediction publishes before the change ships
  • ·Vercel · pricing structure change prediction publishing May 1

Each loop publishes the prediction first — with confidence interval, observation window, and ground-truth source — then publishes the observed outcome and the delta. We don't hide the misses.

Get notified when the first loop publishes